Australian spending on data centre infrastructure is expected to fall by the end of 2020, but will begin to claw its way back up by the end of 2021.
In 2020, data centre infrastructure spending in Australia is forecast to fall by 10.4 per cent year-on-year, to $2.8 billion, according to research by analysis firm Gartner. A year later, however, spending is expected to grow by 6.5 per cent year-on-year, to $3 billion.
This is in line with the firm's global forecast for data centre infrastructure spending – a decline of 10.3 per cent year-on-year in 2020, to US$188 billion, followed by growth of 6.2 per cent year-on-year in 2021, to US$200 billion.
Meanwhile, 2020's global spending decline, according to Gartner senior research director Naveen Mishra, is due to companies around the world focusing on business continuity.
“The priority for most companies in 2020 is keeping the lights on, so data centre growth is generally being pushed back until the market enters the recovery period,” he said.
“Gartner expects larger enterprise data centres sites to hit pause temporarily and then resume expansion plans later this year or early next. However, hyperscalers will continue with their global expansion plans due to continued investments in public cloud.”
The spending growth in 2021, meanwhile, is attributed to when staff can physically be on site.
“For now, all data centre infrastructure segments will be subject to cost containment measures and enterprise buyers are expected to extend life cycles of installed equipment,” Mishra added.
The global spending growth in 2021 isn’t expected to be for the short-term either, as Gartner’s forecast predicts growth year-on-year through to 2024 with a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.1 per cent, to US$221 billion.