Smaller hard disk drives, faster drives and the opening up of the market for disk drives in consumer electronics devices will be among the key industry milestones in 2003, according to the International Disk Drive Equipment and Materials Association (IDEMA).
In a forecast for the disk drive market in 2003, IDEMA outlined several advances, including:
- introduction of 1.0-inch drives capable of storing 4.7GB.
- desktop drives will complete the migration to 7200 rpm from 5,400 rpm.
- migration to the Serial Advanced Technology Attachment (S-ATA) interface will begin this year and the interface will become dominant over the next few years.
- notebook computers will continue to move to the 1.8-inch disk drive format in low-power, lightweight devices.
- drives in enterprise systems will accelerate their move to 15,000rpm technology as new manufacturers enter the market.
The business environment is also picking up, with recovery in 2002 after a disastrous 2001, IDEMA said. One major new opportunity was the consumer electronics market as typified by the new generation of personal video recorders (PVRs) with inbuilt disk drives.
More than 12 million disk drives were shipped to consumer electronics manufacturers in 2002. This figure was expected to rise to 30 million units in 2003 and 50 million in 2004, according to IDEMA figures.
Much of the demand will come from the advent of DVD-RAM/HDD PVR boxes, which should hit the US market in 2003, IDEMA said.
And while prices continued to fall, reduced volatility in pricing was helping manufacturers, a trend which should continue through 2003, association said.
There are now seven major manufacturers following the buyout of IBM's drive business by Hitachi. Seagate Technology and Maxtor between them hold over half of the market in 2002, according to IDEMA figures.