IDC industry shapers for 2003

IDC industry shapers for 2003


Market analysts at IDC have compiled a top 10 list of technologies, business practices and sectors that will have a big impact on the Australian and global IT industry during the next 12 months. While increases in security, network storage and home networking are all fairly obvious and would not require the use of a crystal ball, the emergence of a utility model and the rapid growth of Linux deployment are more interesting developments.

IDC’s chief services analyst for Australia, Merv Langby, said the utility model is still emerging but has the potential to provide organisations, particularly in the SME market, with easy access to best technology, skills and services while providing cost effectiveness and flexibility. He predicted delivery would be partnership based and highlighted network infrastructures like supply chain and customer relationship management as key growth areas.

Linux is tipped to show a compound annual growth rate of 21 per cent during the next four years. Senior analyst of servers and workstations for IDC Asia-Pacific, Tom Minarik, said Linux had moved from niche markets like universities and second-tier ISPs into more mainstream markets during the past couple of years. He expected that trend to continue.

“Linux has grown primarily in the applications space where there are larger data centres running web server applications but it is also gaining a lot of industry around collaborative and email applications,” Minarik said. “It is now starting to move into the higher value server market and there are a greater variety of enterprise class applications becoming available on Linux.”

Other IDC predictions include: Almost four million Australian subscribers will have access to high-speed mobile data services; security spending will top $915 million; small businesses will spend about $12.5 million on IT.

IDC predictions for 2003

Mobile enterprise

Almost four million Australian subscribers with access to high-speed mobile data services

Digital imaging

Digital images captured in a day to surpass film images on a global basis by the end of the year

Utility model

An emerging trend in the delivery of IT services providing access to technology, skills and services

IT security

Australian spending to surpass $915 million due to a major shift in the perception of the role of security

Web services

Effective deployment will stop companies being restricted by inflexible IT architecture

Small and medium enterprises

Australian small businesses to spend more than $12.5 million on IT services this year

Linux deployment

Estimated as a $73 million opportunity for vendors in the Australian server market

Business process outsourcing

The external management of enterprise business functions to move to a new level

Home networking

Rising broadband prescriptions help to make Soho networks deployment a $40 million business

Network storage

The rapid pace of new technology introduction makes network storage an imperative for many firms

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