Continuing confidence has led market research firm IDC to raise its forecast for Australian PC shipment growth in 2002, from 6.0 per cent to 6.4 per cent.
IDC has also upped forecast figures for notebook sales growth, from 10.8 per cent to 11 per cent. The analyst predicts sales will continue to increase through to the second half of the year, driven by technology such as Intel's P4-M chips, Bluetooth and WLAN cards as well as the new Windows XP Service Pack.
The moderate rise comes on the heels of IDC's Market Sentiment Monitor, a survey of 250 companies with 250 or more employees, which shows that most senior and IT management believe economic conditions are likely to improve this year.
Respondents were upbeat about the coming six months, with 74 per cent saying they were somewhat positive, if not positive or very positive, about the economic climate. Additionally, 81.9 per cent believed the prospects for their own business were at least somewhat positive.
IDC analyst Reuban Tan said this will mean a return to replacement cycles as businesses look to significantly upgrade their existing hardware infrastructure. In the downturn, many companies held off on replacing PC systems, and overdue cycles mean that demand in the sector should pick up in 2002.
IT budget priorities
Systems infrastructure 25.2%.
Industry-specific development 11.6%.
Customer relationship management 11.2%.