The rate of failures caused by the year 2000 bug will accelerate rapidly from the middle of this year onwards, according to Chris Morris, vice president of Gartner Group's Asia-Pacific division.
About 25 per cent of the eventual Y2K failures will happen before the January 1, 2000 deadline, as computer systems increasingly need to interact with next year's dates, Morris said. An estimated 8 per cent of all failures will happen "within two weeks of the new year," he added, with 55 per cent happening sometime during the year 2000.
"We will be facing more frequent interruptions in the coming months when non-critical systems start to experience problems," Morris said. He was speaking at the IT Best Practices Seminar organised by Singapore's Information Technology Management Association.
Morris estimated that Asia's bill (excluding Japan) for solving the Y2K problem will be around $US30 billion out of a global Y2K total estimated at between $US300 billion and $600 billion.