Gartner last week unveiled six technology trends that will shape the IT industry in 2006 and beyond. The research is part of the Gartner Predicts 2006 Special Report series which will be available at gartner.com in early December.
1. By 2008, 10 percent of companies will require employee-purchased notebooks.
Gartner predicts that notebooks will begin to move from company ownership to personal ownership as prices continue to decline dramatically. Like a car allowance, staff will receive a notebook allowance. This will remove PC assets from the company books.
2. By 2010, wireless will dominate
In 2004, nearly 90 percent of the world's new telecomms connections were mobile. Growth in traditional wired voice connections continue to slow as VoIP grows. Wireless links will represent 99 percent of the world's new voice connections in 2009.
3. The job market for IT specialists will shrink 40 percent by 2010.
The coming decade will see the emergence of IT "versatilists", people whose multidisciplinary assignments, roles and experiences create a valuable blend of synthesized knowledge, competencies and context to fuel business value.
4. Business process outsourcing (BPO) service providers will capture $11 billion of insurance revenue by 2008.
Insurers are turning to external BPO providers to expedite their legacy transformation process.
5. A 50 percent growth in healthcare software investment could enable clinicians to cut the level of preventable deaths in half by 2013. Healthcare has historically under invested in IT; however, this is changing.
6. Throughout 2008, investigation of new technologies will slow as discretionary budgets divert to regulatory compliance.
Regulatory compliance spending is growing at a rate twice that of IT spending, and in many cases, discretionary IT budgets are entirely consumed by compliance efforts, stifling initiatives that are important to business growth.